INFOGRAPHIC: Where Ebola is most likely to hit next... including China

By Ryan Kilpatrick, October 14, 2014

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MOBS Lab and Northeastern University have produced this map to show where the deadly Ebola outbreak afflicted West Africa might spread to next, based on the frequency of international traffic, the disease's progression in affected countries, incubation times and other factors.



Outside of Africa, the countries most at risk are France and the United Kingdom. Although risk is lower in China, it may be not be as well equipped to deal with an outbreak as countries with better facilities and smaller populations such as France and the UK.



The plot to the left shows various countries' probability for case importation if no travel restrictions are put in place; the right shows the same provided travel restrictions to and from affected areas are put in place. In both cases China is the 16th-ranked country.

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